I live in Fort Lauderale, Florida and this year’s seasonal tropical hurricane forecasts, from multiple sources, are the most dire and frightening I’ve seen, perhaps ever made.
This is coming from multiple sources.
I believe the first out to the gate was Weatherbell, (Joe Bastardi) with their “Hurricane Season From Hell” forecast in December of last year.
- A hurricane season from hell is shaping up for 2024.
- Very high levels of activity should be prepared for in areas that were essentially left untouched in 2023.
- The El Niño will reverse to a La Niña, while the Atlantic basin will be ideal for development.
- Very warm water in the northeastern Pacific is likely to mean the kind of pattern over North America that was similar to 2005, 2017, and 2020.
- This invited storms to reach the U.S.
https://www.weatherbell.com/hurricane-season-from-hell-first-look
Basin Forecast
Names Storms 25-30
Hurricanes 14-16
Major Hurricanes 6-8
Total ACE 200-240Impact Forecast
Named storm Impacts 10-14
Hurricane Impacts 5-8
Major Hurricane Impacts 3-5https://www.weatherbell.com/hurricane-season-from-hell-first-look
Then last week Colorado State University issued their annual seasonal forecast
Forecast for 2024 Hurricane Activity
Forecast Parameters CSU Forecast for 2024* Average for 1991-2020 Named Storms 23 14.4 Named Storm Days 115 69.4 Hurricanes 11 7.2 Hurricane Days 45 27.0 Major Hurricanes 5 3.2 Major Hurricane Days 13 7.4 Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE)+ 210 123 ACE West of 60 degrees longitude 125 73 https://tropical.colostate.edu/forecasting.html
We anticipate that the 2024 Atlantic basin hurricane season will be extremely active.
https://tropical.colostate.edu/forecasting.html
PROBABILITIES FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR (CATEGORY 3-4-5) HURRICANE LANDFALL ON EACH OF THE FOLLOWING COASTAL AREAS:
- Entire continental U.S. coastline – 62% (average from 1880–2020 is 43%)
- U.S. East Coast Including Peninsula Florida (south and east of Cedar Key, Florida) – 34% (average from 1880–2020 is 21%)
- Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle (west and north of Cedar Key, Florida) westward to Brownsville – 42% (average from 1880–2020 is 27%)
https://tropical.colostate.edu/Forecast/2024-04.pdf
ˈbəg-ˌau̇t-
variants or less commonly bugout bag
plural bug-out bags also bugout bags
: a bag packed with survival supplies (such as food, water, medications, and flashlights) and kept ready for use in case of an emergency that requires rapid evacuation : GO BAG
https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/bug-out%20bag
Time to prepare.
And in an election year, any major hurricane hit, which if it does occur, will likely be right before the election, will be used in a hyperbolic pressure campaign like we’ve never seen, in order to elect Biden and Democrats as the party to save us all from catastrophic climate change.
To this day, I believe that Superstorm Sandy and the insane media misrepresentations of its causes (a large storm making landfall at King Tide), effects, and the subsequent media manipulation of disaster aid debates, were instrumental in the reelection of Barack Obama in 2012.
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